Showing posts with label Pew. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Pew. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 8, 2014

Pew: How Americans fall out politically

Lemme summarize this summary of a Pew Research survey of Americans' political leanings:
  • More Americans than in the past claim they are independent, but they're actually lying about it;
  • Those who call themselves politically moderate are more likely to be independent, but they're not really moderates -- 
    • "Being in the center of the ideological spectrum means only that a person has a mix of liberal and conservative values, not that they take moderate positions on all issues," and
    • Thus, the political middle "does not form a potentially coherent coalition around which some political entrepreneur might build a centrist party;"
  • Moderates are less politically active;
  • Ipso facto, those that do claim a party affiliation are more politically active, and they are more polarized than in years past;
  • More Americans nowadays are calling themselves liberal, and fewer conservative, even though a plurality still calls itself conservative.

So I don't often quote polls, since this blog is about the issues and my opinion, not public opinion.  But this data is significant because it shows that many Americans are either confused, or not entirely honest, about their political leanings.  

Anecdotally, in my own life, I have seen it often with so-called "Independents" who are really just Republicans or Democrats according to how they vote, yet they want to retain the self-myth that no party can contain their maverick political spirit.  Yeah, right.


By Dan Balz
July 5, 2014 | Washington Post

Friday, May 30, 2014

Beinart: Obama has made America MORE popular abroad

Apropos, this week I heard Sen. Ted Cruz on Hannity's show after a senatorial junket; Cruz was talking about anonymous "whispers" from foreigners asking, "What has happened to America?" On Fox and talk radio it's practically gospel that America's global popularity is in decline thanks to Obama.

So Beinart reminds us of the facts:

For more than a decade, the Pew Research Center has been asking people around the world about their opinion of the United States. The upshot: In every region of the globe except the Middle East (where the United States was wildly unpopular under George W. Bush and remains so), America’s favorability is way up since Obama took office. In Spain, approval of the United States is 29 percentage points higher than when Bush left office. In Italy, it’s up 23 points. In Germany and France, it’s 22. With the exception of China, where the numbers have remained flat, the trend is the same in Asia. The U.S. is 19 points more popular in Japan, 24 points more popular in Indonesia, and 28 points more popular in Malaysia. Likewise among the biggest powers in Latin America and Africa: Approval of the United States has risen 19 points in Argentina and 12 points in South Africa.

Indeed, "the guy in the White House retains a personal brand that outshines America’s as a whole:"

Again, the numbers come from Pew, which has been asking people in key countries every year whether they have “confidence” in America’s president to “do the right thing in world affairs.” Obama’s popularity is down since 2009. Still, in Mexico and Argentina, the president’s 2013 numbers (the most recent we have) are 33 percentage points higher than Bush’s in 2008. In South Korea, the margin is 47 points. In Japan, it’s 45 points. In Brazil, it’s 52 points. In Britain, it’s 56 points. In France, it’s 70 points. In Germany, it’s 74 points.

In case you’re reading quickly, 74 points isn’t Obama’s approval rating in Germany. It’s the gap between his approval rating and Bush’s. In George W.’s final year in office, 14 percent of Germans had faith that the president of the United States would do the right thing internationally. Last year, 88 percent did.

The conservative comeback to this overwhelming evidence is that world leaders are turning against Obama and America, even if foreigners aren't. Well, that's almost impossible to measure or substantiate; as are Cruz's alleged "whispers."

But this gets back to my point made long ago that the U.S. should be more concerned what the people in other countries think of us. If indeed these countries are democratic, then that's what ultimately matters. And even in the countries that aren't democratic -- there tends to be a disturbing overlap of anti-American terrorism with autocracy, especially in the Mideast and North Africa.

Not to say that the job of commander-in-chief is to be popular, but... it's certainly not to be unpopular abroad. That only hurts us among our allies and adversaries alike.

And then there's the last line of anti-Obama defense: "But Obama doesn't deserve to be so popular; he hasn't done anything!"  That may be true, it's debatable. But maybe it's more about what he hasn't done or said, and what he has said. Future U.S. presidents, take note!  

Regardless, if this is the international bonus that we get by having Obama in office, let's not look a gift horse in the mouth!  Let's be happy and accept it!  To feel otherwise is just bitter partisanship.


By Peter Beinart
May 30, 2014 | The Atlantic

Friday, February 22, 2013

Pew poll: GOP wrong on every major issue

Yep, it's all about better messaging and branding by the GOP, mm-hm.

Seriously though, on taxes and the deficit, a higher minimum wage, gun control and background checks, climate change, immigration, and the budget "sequester," the GOP is losing in the battle of public opinion.

So what have they got left? Lies? Yep, lying works, sometimes. Gerrymandering? Check. They already did that: Democrats got more votes in Congressional races than the Republicans, yet we know who still controls the House. Voter suppression? Their best shot was in 2012, when state laws were new and young, old and poor voters were caught relatively unprepared, intentionally so; meanwhile, Democrats shocked and awed Republicans with their get-out-the-vote efforts. Fear-mongering? Ongoing. We're tired of being afraid though... aren't we? Scandals? Their latest attempt was with Benghazi, met with a collective yawn. Red baiting? That's so 20th century, but they're still trying it, while everybody under age 50 scratches their heads or just laughs. Token minorities? It didn't work with Alan Keyes or Hermain Cain, but they're gonna give it another shot with Rubio and/or Jindal. But I sincerely doubt it'll work this time; character and policy positions matter way more. 

All in all, things are looking good for the Democrats, if they can only avoid snatching defeat from the jaws of victory, like they usually do.


By Greg Sargent
February 21, 2013 | Washington Post