Sunday, February 17, 2008

Obama as third party candidate?

I'm not in the U.S., so maybe I missed some pundit making this prediction, but... As far as I know, I'm the first to say this: Don't be surprised if Obama seriously considers running for President as an Independent if he wins the Democrats' popular delegate count, but loses the superdelegates to Hillary.

If he wins the primary delegates but loses the superdelegates, he'll have every justification to argue that the Democrats allowed Clinton-connected party insiders to trump the will of the party's base.

Besides being loved by Democrats, Obama has a lot of independent and even Republican voters' support. And I like Obama's chances running against two of conservatives' current worst enemies: Hillary and McCain. If Obama decided to run on his own, the traditional logic that a third party candidate saps votes from one or the other of the two parties would not hold: Obama would steal votes from both of them.



Clinton urges Superdelegates to support her, despite Obama's primary wins
By Peter Slevin and Jose Antonio Vargas

February 17, 2008 | Washington Post

URL: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/02/16/AR2008021602657.html?hpid=topnews

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