Showing posts with label McDonald's. Show all posts
Showing posts with label McDonald's. Show all posts

Thursday, July 31, 2014

Globalization is over; or, Tom Friedman is a dope

Yes indeed, the Tom Friedman conception of globalization (The Lexus and the Olive Tree; The World Is Flat).was always too glib, optimistic and it cherry-picked success stories to paint a rosy picture.

Now we see how useless was Tom Friedman's "Golden Arches theory of conflict prevention," with Russia attacking its neighbors and fellow McDonald's countries Ukraine and Georgia, and threatening to further destabilize or attack a third McDonald's country, Moldova. 

And several more "McDonald's conflicts" -- Vietnam-China, Japan-China, EU-Russia, and US-Russia -- are starting or now underway.

Leonard's article is worth reading in full, wherein he describes how the globe is moving:
  • From free trade to economic warfare
  • From global governance to competitive multilateralism
  • From one Internet to many.
Leonard redeems the post-Cold War analysis of military strategist Edward Luttwak, who predicted that "as in earlier generations, the driving force of international relations would be conflict rather than trade. As he put it, we would have 'the grammar of commerce but the logic of war.'"

Here is Leonard's conclusion [emphasis mine]:

Interdependence, formerly an economic boon, has now become a threat as well. No one is willing to lose out on the benefits of a global economy, but all great powers are thinking about how to protect themselves from its risks, military and otherwise. China is moving toward domestic consumption after the threat of the U.S. financial crisis. America is moving toward energy independence after the Iraq War. Russia is trying to build a Eurasian Union after the euro crisis. And even internationalist Germany is trying to change the EU so that its fellow member states are bound into German-style policies.

In the years after the Cold War, interdependence was a force for ending conflict.  But in 2014, it is creating it. After 25 years of being bound together ever more tightly, the world seems intent on resegregating itself. 

To be fair, Leonard's conclusion might also be too glib; one could argue that globalization was never happening to the extent that it was hyped. A lot of economic globalization -- more than 1/3 of economic activity -- has been intra-company and inter-company trade, i.e. companies trading with themselves across borders to access cheaper labor markets and other cost efficiencies, tax preferences and laxer regulation. 

Meanwhile, rival countries have not forgotten their historical and geopolitical grudges in the name of "free trade;" they have simply adopted new strategies of conflict management.

UPDATE (09.08.2014): Here's Anne Applebaum in the Washington Post a couple weeks later cribbing Mark Leonard's column, complete with the same McDonald's analysis: "Russia's blow to globalization." 


By Mark Leonard
July 30, 2014 | Reuters

Friday, August 30, 2013

'McJobs' lead to middle class?!



Never say I don't give equal time. To wit, here's the chairman of the National Restaurant Association Phil Hickey carrying water (er, super-size soda?) for America's "McJobs" creators:

The truth is that both part-time and full-time positions make the restaurant industry a versatile career option for a variety of workers. From underemployed or hard-to-employ workers to college graduates, the industry provides a pathway to the middle class and often beyond.

Efforts to devalue the industry and mandate changes, like raising the minimum wage, hurt workers by preventing businesses of all sizes from creating more jobs.

Hickey argues that the $7.25 federal minimum wage doesn't need to be raised because... hardly anybody earns minimum wage:

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 71% of minimum-wage employees in the restaurant industry are under the age of 25; 47% are teenagers.  

So why is Hickey wrong?  First, Hickey is actually admitting that 53 percent of fast-food workers earning minimum wage are adults.  He is also admitting, indirectly, that the current minimum wage sucks and people don't deserve it.

In fact, according to USA Today, the average non-management fast-food employee currently earns $9.09 per hour or $18,886 per year. Though that is still below the 2013 federal poverty threshold of $19,530 for a family of three.

Moreover, "Eighty-eight percent of workers in jobs paying less than $10 an hour are older than 20, and a third are older than 40, according to the Economic Policy Institute."  

Granted, two adults working full-time in fast food could make for a (barely) middle-class household... but don't forget that most fast food joints don't offer their employees health insurance or other benefits. BTW, who's taking care of their kid(s)? And if a family is paying its health costs out of pocket without insurance then God help them, because one medical emergency could bankrupt them. As indeed will happen to 2 million Americans this year. 

And if a family of three elects to buy health insurance on their own, either HSA or HDHP, then chances are their annual deductible + monthly costs will be $10,000 and up, or about 1/3 of that fast-food family's gross income.  

Next fact: in the U.S., workers' wages make up 25 to 35 percent of the cost of fast food, according to experts. Meanwhile, the norm in Europe where the minimum wage is higher is about 45 percent; and yet somehow, McDonald's manages to operate more than 7,400 restaurants in Europe. This indicates there is room for higher U.S. wages.  Still, the cost of fast food would probably go up, since restaurant owners, whose average profit margins hover around 4 percent, would pass on all or most of a wage increase to customers. 

"That's terrible, higher prices must be avoided at all costs!" my conservative interlocutor will object. To them inflation is the biggest bogeyman next to taxes. But you know what? I'm cool with it.  Poorer people would do well to eat less fast food anyway, and prepare their own meals; and wealthier people could afford to pay a little more. 

It reminds me how "Papa" John Schnatter warned in dire terms that Papa John's restaurants would have to raise their prices 14 cents per pizza to give their employees health insurance to comply with Obamacare. But what's 14 cents to a customer who can afford to buy a pizza instead of groceries? Plus it's customary to tip the deliver guy at least a couple bucks.

(BTW, President Obama's proposal in February to raise the minimum wage to $9 and tie it to the cost of living was projected to raise the price of fast food 3 percent. With a $9 minimum wage, the average cost of a McDonald's Extra Value Meal would then increase from $4.45 to $4.58.  Hardly noticeable.  Doing a little algebra -- although I have no idea if this is economically sound -- at the same ratio, a $15 minimum wage would increase the cost of fast food by 13.3 percent, for a Value Meal price of $5.03.  Heck, let's suppose a $15 wage would raise the price 40 percent: the Value Meal would still cost only $6.23.  Not exactly hyperinflation.)

According to economic theory, there is a big benefit to higher wages: lower employee turnover. Lower turnover leads to higher productivity (output per employee per hour). U.S. workers, incidentally, are already the most productive in the world, although you wouldn't guess it, considering real U.S. incomes have been stagnant since the 1970s; and the median male is especially worse off today, earning as much in real dollars as a man in 1964!

Next problem with Hickey's apologia: McDonald's, Walmart and most other retailers employ few full-time workers anyway; workers are not permitted to work full time.  So we're really talking about workers below the U.S. poverty line unless they work two part-time jobs.  That is, assuming they can get those part-time jobs: there are still 3 applicants for every job opening.

To protest this sad state of affairs, yesterday fast-food workers in about 60 U.S. cities carried out a one-day strike for a minimum hourly wage of $15.  

Theirs is the next great struggle for organized labor and fair compensation.  But it's not their struggle alone.  Even the middle and upper classes stand to lose -- or gain -- along with the lowest-paid Americans.  

"There is a spillover effect from raising the minimum wage, and those who are currently earning [just] above it will also benefit, as many employers will raise their wages too," said Lawrence Mishel of the Economic Policy Institute.

Furthermore, as entrepreneur Nick Hanauer explained in his Bloomberg op-ed, "The Capitalist’s Case for a $15 Minimum Wage": 

Raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour* would inject about $450 billion into the economy each year. That would give more purchasing power to millions of poor and lower-middle-class Americans, and would stimulate buying, production and hiring.

Studies by the Economic Policy Institute show that a $15 minimum wage would directly affect 51 million workers and indirectly benefit an additional 30 million. That’s 81 million people, or about 64 percent of the workforce, and their families who would be more able to buy cars, clothing and food from our nation’s businesses.

... [C]ontrary to conventional economic orthodoxy, increases in the minimum wage increase employment. In 60 percent of the states that raised the minimum wage during periods of high unemployment, job growth was faster than the national average.

Some business people oppose an increase in the minimum wage as needless government interference in the workings of the market. In fact, a big increase would substantially reduce government intervention and dependency on public assistance programs.

(*Here's yet more equal time for crusty conservatives, a very long argument why "A $15 minimum wage is a terrible idea" by Dylan Matthews over at WaPo's Wonkblog.)

Regardless of whether the new minimum wage should be $9 or a few bucks more, $7.25 'MCJobs' just aren't cutting it for our economy.  And 'McJobs' are certainly not "a pathway to the middle class and often beyond" -- not unless something changes.  

Eric Liu, a former speechwriter for Bill Clinton, summed it up best in his TIME piece, "McDonald’s and the Fate of the Middle Class":

Too many American think that the plight of the low-wage worker has nothing to do with them. In fact it is both a preview and a parable. The fate of the middle class rests, in part, on whether more Americans learn to see the fate of fry cooks as their own.

We must all rise or fall together!

Monday, August 22, 2011

Nasty germs at McDonald's, other fast food joints

No, you can't get gonorrhea from a toilet seat... but you can get it from the playground slide at McDonald's/Burger King.

Said an aggrieved activist mother who swabbed a McDonald's for germs, there are "layers and layers and layers and layers of just disgustingness" there.

Layers and layers and layers and layers and layers and layers and layers and.... You get the idea.


Disease-causing pathogens at McDonald's, other fast food playgrounds
By Tiffany Hsu
August 22, 2011 | Los Angeles Times

Wednesday, May 11, 2011

New McJobs for a new McEconomy

It looks like in the future our U.S. economy will consist of all former middle-class workers serving each other cokes and burgers....


By Andy Kroll
May 9, 2011 | Mother Jones

Think of it as a parable for these grim economic times. On April 19th, McDonald's launched its first-ever national hiring day, signing up 62,000 new workers at stores throughout the country. For some context, that's more jobs created by one company in a single day than the net job creation of the entire U.S. economy in 2009. And if that boggles the mind, consider how many workers applied to local McDonald's franchises that day and left empty-handed: 938,000 of them. With a 6.2% acceptance rate in its spring hiring blitz, McDonald's was more selective than the Princeton, Stanford, or Yale University admission offices.

It shouldn't be surprising that a million souls flocked to McDonald's hoping for a steady paycheck, when nearly 14 million Americans are out of work and nearly a million more are too discouraged even to look for a job. At this point, it apparently made no difference to them that the fast-food industry pays some of the lowest wages around: on average, $8.89 an hour, or barely half the $15.95 hourly average across all American industries.

On an annual basis, the average fast-food worker takes home $20,800, less than half the national average of $43,400. McDonald's appears to pay even worse, at least with its newest hires.

[...]

Saturday, March 12, 2011

Couldn't be prouder: Filet-o-Fish invented in NKY

Forgive me for posting something non-political, but I'm pretty proud that my hometown invented the closest thing to healthy on McDonald's heart-attack menu, the Filet-o-Fish. It is aka "Fish Mac" in E. Europe. There is an uneaten one in my fridge right now, awaiting its date with destiny.

And you thought all Kentucky invented was great fried chicken! It is a veritable Bell Labs of fast-food innovation.

UPDATE: Somebody pointed out that the filet-o-fish is actually not very healthy. Well he can go suck an egg white!


By Stefano DiPietrantonio
March 12, 2011 | FOX19.com

Today was the first "fish-fry" Friday of the Lenten season. Many people give up eating red meat on Fridays and instead eat only fish or no meat at all.

Lent is a 40 day span of reflection and sacrifice for Christians around the world as we move toward Good Friday and Easter Sunday.

One of the most popular places to find fish sandwiches during Lent is McDonald's. Did you know that a piece of pop-culture history was invented right here in Cincinnati?